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Table 2 Bayesian analysis of E1690 using E1684 as historical data

From: Bayesian methods in clinical trials: a Bayesian analysis of ECOG trials E1684 and E1690

Endpoint

Weight (a 0)

Posterior hazard ratio

95% HPD Interval

% Reduction

Posterior cure rate estimate (95% HPD Interval)

OBS

IFN

RFS

0

1.29

(0.98, 1.63)

29

0.32

0.41

(0.24, 0.39)

(0.32, 0.49)

0.4

1.32

(1.04, 1.62)

32

0.30

0.40

(0.23, 0.36)

(0.33, 0.46)

1

1.34

(1.10, 1.60)

34

0.28

0.39

(0.23, 0.33)

(0.33, 0.44)

OS

0

1.01

(0.74, 1.30)

1

0.50

0.50

(0.42, 0.58)

(0.42, 0.58)

0.4

1.08

(0.82, 1.34)

8

0.44

0.46

(0.36, 0.51)

(0.38, 0.54)

1

1.14

(0.91, 1.38)

14

0.39

0.43

(0.32, 0.46)

(0.36, 0.50)