Between-trial variance estimates | Model fit statistics | ||||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Models | Trt1 vs Placebo | Trt2 vs Placebo | Trt3 vs Placebo | Trt4 vs Placebo | Trt2 vs Trt1 | pD | DIC |
Random-effects pair wise meta-analysis | |||||||
Frequentist (DerSimonian-Laird) | 0.086 | 0.110 | 0.016 | 0.075 | 0.106 | -- | -- |
Frequentist (Hartung-Makimbi) | 0.083 | 0.103 | 0.040 | 0.072 | 0.112 | -- | -- |
Bayesian (weakly informative) | 0.100 | 0.371 | 0.023 | 0.103 | 0.334 | -- | -- |
Bayesian (frequentist informed) | 0.087 | 0.121 | 0.036 | 0.067 | 0.093 | -- | -- |
Bayesian (empirically informed) | 0.088 | 0.110 | 0.021 | 0.054 | 0.059 | -- | -- |
Random-effects MTC models | |||||||
Weakly informed variance models | |||||||
Homogeneous variance model | 0.078 | 0.078 | 0.078 | 0.078 | 0.078 | 138.8 | 1229.1 |
Unrestricted variances | 0.100 | 0.469 | 0.023 | 0.104 | 0.214 | 138.3 | 1229.9 |
Exchangeable variances* | 0.092 | 0.226 | 0.009 | 0.066 | 0.047 | 133.7 | 1232.2 |
Consistency variances structure | 0.091 | 0.172 | 0.033 | 0.075 | 0.133 | 136.6 | 1230.0 |
Moderately informed variance models | |||||||
Frequentist informed priors | 0.087 | 0.172 | 0.036 | 0.069 | 0.064 | 135.6 | 1226.4 |
Empirically informed priors | 0.087 | 0.199 | 0.020 | 0.054 | 0.042 | 133.8 | 1229.5 |