Table 4 Short-term predictions of the total of COVID-19 related deaths at the national level obtained for the 3 Parameter logistic, Gompertz and Richards model
3 Parameter logistic | Gompertz | Richards | Observed deaths | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Date | Prediction | Prediction Interval | Prediction | Prediction Interval | Prediction | Prediction Interval | |
26-Jun-20 | 2335.60 | (2219.46–2457.20) | 2427.55 | (2307.86–2548.39) | 2135.91 | (2026.155–2272.12) | 2340 |
1-Jul-20 | 2699.07 | (2534.78–2883.60) | 2937.94 | (2762.25–3120.19) | 2234.63 | (2076.82–2461.46) | 2749 |
6-Jul-20 | 3030.89 | (2808.62–3309.00) | 3507.83 | (3259.49–3783.43) | 2274.72 | (2084.222–2593.48) | 3310 |
11-Jul-20 | 3317.85 | (3029.44–3715.10) | 4135.71 | (3768.47–4560.75) | 2289.68 | (2085.09–2677.04) | 3971 |
17-Jul-20 | 3595.95 | (3230.76–4142.80) | 4961.96 | (4419.59–5621.05) | 2295.63 | (2085.252–2724.29) | 4804 |
22-Jul-20 | 3774.63 | (3346.30–4435.10) | 5706.81 | (4961.87–6607.89) | 2297.18 | (2085.271–2745.95) | 5940 |