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Table 3 Average predicted CVD risk for patients in the validation cohort before and after secular trend was introduced, using an MSM and an interval censored Cox model

From: An assessment of the potential miscalibration of cardiovascular disease risk predictions caused by a secular trend in cardiovascular disease in England

 

Predicted CVD risk (average)

Relative reduction in risk

Not adjusted for secular trend

Adjusted for secular trend

Interval censored Cox

 Female

1.284%

0.826%

35.68%

 Male

1.911%

1.274%

33.31%

Marginal structural model

 Female

1.287%

0.859%

33.24%

 Male

1.941%

1.307%

32.67%