Likelihood | Detection | Window size (weeks) | Â | |||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
model | characteristic | 5 | 10 | 15 | 20 | 25 | 30 | |
 | Max accuracy | 0.7143 | 0.7214 | 0.7175 | 0.7234 | 0.7209 | 0.7202 | |
Poisson | Cut-off (percentile) | 0.97 | 0.98 | 0.95 | 0.93 | 0.98 | 0.98 | |
 | Time | 0.5376 | 2.1435 | 6.5293 | 14.6618 | 28.5325 | 48.6852 | |
 | Max accuracy | 0.7081 | 0.7158 | 0.7145 | 0.7214 | 0.7227 | 0.7222 | |
 | Cut-off (percentile) | 0.93 | 0.95 | 0.94 | 0.95 | 0.98 | 0.98 | |
Generalized | Time (min) | 0.5487 | 2.2986 | 6.7418 | 15.8412 | 30.8942 | 53.2669 | |
Poisson | Overdispersion delay | 0.0862 | 0.0848 | 0.0937 | 0.0861 | 0.0923 | 0.0918 | |
 | 95% CrI | (0.041, 0.124) | (0.051, 0.135) | (0.055, 0.167) | (0.094, 0.191) | (0.092, 0.148) | (0.091, 0.129) | |
 | Overdispersion cluster | 0.158 | 0.1636 | 0.1551 | 0.1534 | 0.1478 | 0.1466 | |
 | 95% CrI | (0.045, 0.374) | (0.046, 0.384) | (0.042, 0.371) | (0.042, 0.364) | (0.042, 0.353) | (0.041, 0.351) |